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Sentiment Contrarian
FUTURESPAUSED4h candles
-$1,256
-12.6% ROI
Fades extreme long/short sentiment — needs more L/S history
Performance Metrics
Win Rate0.0%
Sharpe0.00
Max Drawdown$1.3k
Total Trades10.2/mo
Avg Win—
Avg Loss$-1256
Total Fees$0
ROI-12.6%
How It Works — Plain English
When more than 65% of traders are all betting the same direction, the crowd is usually wrong at those extremes. This strategy fades that extreme sentiment — going short when everyone is long, going long when everyone is short. Currently paused because only 28 days of sentiment data is available, which is not enough to properly test the edge.
Advanced Implementation+ expand− collapse
Entry Conditions
- ▸Long/Short ratio: longAccount > 0.65 AND RSI > 65 → SHORT (overcrowded longs)
- ▸Long/Short ratio: shortAccount > 0.55 AND RSI < 35 → LONG (overcrowded shorts)
Exit Conditions
- ▸Stop loss: 2x ATR from entry
- ▸Take profit: 2x risk distance (2:1 R:R)
- ▸Time stop: 12 bars (2 days on 4h)
Position Sizing
Standard 3% risk per trade.
Data Sources
- Global L/S Account Ratio — Binance Futures (168 records, ~28 days only)
- OHLCV 4h — Binance Spot
Key Parameters
- ▸Long extreme threshold: > 65% accounts long
- ▸Short extreme threshold: > 55% accounts short
- ▸RSI confirmation required
- ▸Status: paused — only 1 trade in 6 months (data too sparse)
- ▸Needs: 3+ months of live L/S data collection before re-evaluation